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r• :„lstin, George April 24, 1984 Page 4 dwelling units of all the towns in the county. If this percentage continued into the future, about 1 ,540 additional units could be expected in the area by 2010 in rural western Dane County. This represents about 3 units per town annually for 30 years, which is consistent with County Land Use Plan policy for rural scattered unsewered development. Impact of the RIK Proposal Assessing the impact of the proposed RIK development is highly dependent on the magnitude and timing of the number of new jobs created. In addition, the type of employment and pay scales play important roles in the decision of where people choose to live. Industries and businesses that would probably locate in a research park, such as proposed, may employ some higher salaried people able to afford commuting costs and more expensive homes on larger lots. On the other hand, if large numbers of lower paid manufacturing or service type jobs are created, there could be a greater demand for rental apartment housing which might be located closer to the employment area. Phase I Impacts The initial phase of the proposal is intended to be completed in about 8-10 years and would result in about 1 ,000 jobs. According to City of Madison staff, most of these jobs would not be new but shifted from other parts of the Madison area. The issue of potential new rural housing developments resulting from the location of a major employment center at this location is not easily quantified. The variables that may affect the amount, location, and timing of rural residential development related to the proposal are numerous. Such diverse factors as mortgage interest rates, costs of • residential construction, family size and composition, and travel costs, to name a few, have a profound impact on residential development location. The impact on housing development in the three westerly sectors within the central urban service area would probably be to encourage more rapid residential infill of vacant areas currently planned and zoned and, in many cases, already platted for residential use at a variety of densities. DCRPC forecasts indicate an additional 7,141 dwelling units to be added by 1990 in these sectors. Although short term (10-year) forecasts of dwelling units were not made for either the outlying urban service areas or the rural areas, pervious figures showed that about 3 units were anticipated to be added annually per town to the year 2010. This could result in about 450 new scattered units outside the urban service areas in western Dane County from 1980 to 1990. Probably, with the development of the RIK Research Park on the western edge of the City of Madison, many of these scattered units would tend to be located within the six towns (Berry, Springfield, Cross Plains, Verona, Middleton and Springdale) that are within a 10-12 minute drive to the pities of Madison and Middleton. RPC